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Methodology & Statistics

160 Pins
 2y
Collection by
The Sociological Cinema
A counterfactual is a statement that follows this form: "If Joseph Swan had not invented the modern incandescent light bulb, then someone else would have invented it anyway." People use counterfactuals every day; however, its analysis is not so clear. Swan, after all, did invent the modern incandescent light bulb, so how can the statement be true, if it is impossible to examine its correspondence to reality? ...
A: Do you think the owl is a predator? B: No, of course not. He's never bothered me. A: Exactly. A: No idea what Mr. Mouse was going on about. Artist: Nathan W. Pyle
1) Metaphysics (What is real?); 2) Epistemology (How do we know?); 3) Axiology (What is right?)

Methodology: Epistemological Concerns

9 Pins

Methodology: Logical Fallacies

28 Pins
They're at it again. Once more, the White House is using a bar chart to plot cumulative test numbers--without even labeling the numbers as cumulative, May 2020 ~ @CT_Bergstrom
Here's a remarkable example of a misleading visualization from the 4/6 White House press conference. They are using a bar chart to show *cumulative* tests run. Looks impressive, but that linear increase means capacity is not improving! h/t @markjaggers ~ @callin_bull

Methodology: Data Visualization

17 Pins
Headline: "Women who own horses live longer" Implied correlation: horses make you live longer. Reality: if you own a horse, you can probably afford health insurance. ~ @Justinkingnews
A Type of Continuous Probability Source: Does anyone know who created this?

Methodology: Correlation and Causation

17 Pins
Statistical tests calculate whether the difference between two sets of results is significant enough for us to be confident that any changes seen in the dependent are due to manipulation of the independent variable. The choice of statistical tests depends on three factors: 1. What type of data is it? 2. Which experimental design is being used? 3. Are you testing for difference or correlation? Source: Daydream
Source: Pew Research Center
Sampling Designs for Social Statistics

Methodology: Sampling

8 Pins
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They're at it again. Once more, the White House is using a bar chart to plot cumulative test numbers--without even labeling the numbers as cumulative, May 2020 ~ @CT_Bergstrom Plots, Being Used, White House, Bar Chart, Numbers, Labels, Bar Graphs, Big Data
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They're at it again, 2020.
They're at it again. Once more, the White House is using a bar chart to plot cumulative test numbers--without even labeling the numbers as cumulative, May 2020 ~ @CT_Bergstrom
The Sociological Cinema
The Sociological Cinema
Methodology & Statistics
Here's a remarkable example of a misleading visualization from the 4/6 White House press conference. They are using a bar chart to show *cumulative* tests run. Looks impressive, but that linear increase means capacity is not improving! h/t @markjaggers ~ @callin_bull Increase, Improve, Linear, Pressing, Conference
Increase
Improve
Linear
Pressing
Conference
Here's a remarkable example of a misleading visualization from a press conference, 2020
Here's a remarkable example of a misleading visualization from the 4/6 White House press conference. They are using a bar chart to show *cumulative* tests run. Looks impressive, but that linear increase means capacity is not improving! h/t @markjaggers ~ @callin_bull
The Sociological Cinema
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In just 15 days the total number of #COVID19 cases in Georgia is up 49%, but you wouldn't know it from looking at the state's data visualization map of cases. The first map is July 2. The second is today. Do you see a 50% case increase? Can you spot how they're hiding it? ~ @andishehnouraee Who Runs The World, Change The World, Data Visualization Map, Wtf Moments, Words To Describe, The More You Know, What's Going On, True Stories, Words Of Wisdom
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Can you spot how Georgia is hiding the increase in COVID-19 cases? July 2020
In just 15 days the total number of #COVID19 cases in Georgia is up 49%, but you wouldn't know it from looking at the state's data visualization map of cases. The first map is July 2. The second is today. Do you see a 50% case increase? Can you spot how they're hiding it? ~ @andishehnouraee
The Sociological Cinema
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Methodology & Statistics
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The Logical Fallacies Collection: 30 Ways to Lose an Argument
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Scenario 1: The police officer stops 20 people pulling aside equal numbers of Black and white people. Of the 20 people stopped, the officer uses force against 8 of them. The police officer used force against stopped white people and stopped Black people at the same rate: 40%. But that's not the only scenario that can lead to that 40% number. Scenario 2: This time, of the 100 people the officer sees, he stops 50. But this time he is biased in whom he pulls aside... Crime Data, Hispanic American, Black And White People, Data Capture, Killed By Police, Fourth Grade Math, See And Say, Medicare For All, Complex Systems
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How numbers that appear equitable can obscure bias
Scenario 1: The police officer stops 20 people pulling aside equal numbers of Black and white people. Of the 20 people stopped, the officer uses force against 8 of them. The police officer used force against stopped white people and stopped Black people at the same rate: 40%. But that's not the only scenario that can lead to that 40% number. Scenario 2: This time, of the 100 people the officer sees, he stops 50. But this time he is biased in whom he pulls aside...
The Sociological Cinema
The Sociological Cinema
Methodology & Statistics